Posts Tagged ‘Real Clear Politics’
Wednesday, February 13th, 2008
After the sweep by Obama and McCain in the Potomac Primaries the latest delegate count by Real Clear Politics shows McCain has about 3/4 of the needed delegates and Huckabee has less than one quarter.
The actual delegate count is completely vague. Each campaign on both sides counts delegates differently. The AP and various networks have differing numbers too. On the democratic side, it is clear that Obama has the lead but by how much is the subject of debate and super delegates which are available only for the democratic contest are another story entirely.
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Posted in Barack Obama, Breaking News, Candidates, Democrats, Hillary Clinton, John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Primary, Republicans | 32 Comments »
Wednesday, January 16th, 2008
Mitt claims the pro-growth economic message with Michigan, NH solidified Mac’s strong security message and Huck in Iowa got the jump on social and religious conservatives…3 winners with distinct messages, and with strengths and weaknesses regionally and on core GOP issues…There is no front-runner.
SC was always THE state for southerner Fred Thompson to win…failing here could eliminate him.
But McCain has long viewed SC (with a high per capita population of retired and active military) as key to his long term viability.
And because as much as 60% of the South Carolina GOP vote is evangelical Huck needs to win here too!
A 3 way do or die???
ABSOLUTELY NOT!
Now the race is about delegate counting with all the candidates planning for a long war of attrition beyond February 5th. When you look at the count and the map there is little incentive for anyone to bail out regardless of the outcome of South Carolina .
States allocating pledged delegates to date:
Iowa, Wyoming (GOP), New Hampshire, Michigan
Source: Real Clear Politics
Republican Delegates (1,191 needed to win nomination)
| Candidate |
Delegates |
| Rudy Giuliani |
1 |
| Mike Huckabee |
21 |
| Duncan Hunter |
1 |
| John McCain |
19 |
| Ron Paul |
2 |
| Mitt Romney |
42 |
| Fred Thompson |
6 |
| Total |
92 |
As for Giuliani, he put all his eggs in Florida’s winner-take-all basket. There are 57 delegates to be won there.
He is tied with McCain. If McCain wins South Carolina that could propel to a win of those 57 delegates.
| Florida Republican Primary |
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| Poll |
Date |
McCain |
Giuliani |
Huckabee |
Romney |
Thompson |
Paul |
Spread |
| RCP Average |
01/07 to 01/13 |
21.3 |
21.3 |
18.3 |
17.0 |
8.8 |
4.8 |
Tie |
| SurveyUSA |
01/11 – 01/13 |
25 |
23 |
18 |
18 |
9 |
4 |
McCain +2.0 |
| Quinnipiac |
01/09 – 01/13 |
22 |
20 |
19 |
19 |
7 |
5 |
McCain +2.0 |
| Rasmussen |
01/09 – 01/12 |
19 |
18 |
17 |
18 |
11 |
5 |
McCain +1.0 |
| InsiderAdvantage |
01/07 – 01/07 |
19 |
24 |
19 |
13 |
8 |
5 |
Giuliani +5.0 |
Posted in Blogroll, Breaking News, John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney, Primary, Republicans, Rudy Giuliani, Uncategorized | 27 Comments »
Monday, January 14th, 2008
Skepticism over Giuliani’s finances dogged him for another day in Florida. He has spent the last few trying to reassure voters that he is not tapped out, even while some aides voluntarily give up their paychecks.
Rudy’s latest attempt to allay doubts came as he spoke to Wendell Goler aboard his campaign bus.
Click below to see Rudy explain in his own words.
http://embeds.files.wordpress.com/2008/01/rudygolerstrategy.mov
Can he convince reporters, bloggers and the public that his Florida must-win strategy is working despite most of the current polls showing him lagging behind McCain in Florida?
Real Clear Politics has the numbers.
Read Mosheh Oinounou, our embed producer’s full write up on this at embeds.blogs.foxnews.com
Posted in Blogroll, John McCain, Primary, Republicans, Rudy Giuliani, Uncategorized, Video | Comments Off
Monday, January 14th, 2008
There are polls aplenty and each campaign can find reason for optimism. Check here to see the latest Real Clear Politics polls. Michigan is a Romney/McCain fight. The subject is manufacturing job losses. Romney has family history in the state, his father was governor. McCain won the 2000 Michigan primary. McCain has momentum coming out of NH, but knows he can’t afford to let the McCainiacs get complacent.
done
Posted in 2008 caucus, 2008 debate, 2008 debate univision, Blogroll, Breaking News, John McCain, Primary, Republicans, Video | 20 Comments »